So Katie McInerney, Co host, about number with us and
Good morning to you.
Two things come to mind.
Just over the past 24 hours,
she was asked on CBS if Trump was unfit for
office and she declined to answer that.
I thought that was somewhat telling.
And then there's this quote from the Politico piece about
Haley turning her fire on Trump.
Mike Dennehy says she cannot go nuclear on Trump because
she will lose any Republican support she currently has
if she does. So how do you view that right?
Mike Dennehy is spot on.
She's walking a tightrope. Look,
she has to go after Trump and fight back.
Go look at his true social feed.
He's going after her. So she has to defend herself
and try to make inroads and Cleve votes away from
her opponent but not go personal.
To your point on CBS,
she would not say he's unfit for office.
On CNN she was asked about the E Jean Carroll
case.
She declined to comment. She's not going personal in a
way that perhaps Chris Christie did.
He got double digit support and pulling in New Hampshire,
but beyond New Hampshire there was nothing left for him.
So getting those independence, but at the same time not
isolating MAGA voters as you go down the line to
South Carolina Super Tuesday,
it's a tall order. She's doing it well.
What about Vivek Ramaswamy, who decided on in Iowa that
that was going to be the end of the road
for him?
He immediately backed President Trump,
endorsed him, and then joined him last night.
Take a listen to some of the supporters cheering for
Vivek Ramaswamy last night,
In
case you couldn't understand that they're screaming a Veep for
Vivek Ramaswamy and President Trump sort of teasing that as
well,
saying that he will be around for a long time.
Chances of him being vice president.
What do you think? I think slim to none.
First, Jason Miller was asked about this.
He advised President Trump and he said no to Vivek.
However, that was before Vivek dropped out.
I think when you're looking at a vice presidential candidate,
you don't want a carbon copy of the nominee.
And in many ways, Vivek and Trump,
they pick up the same base of voters.
It's the mag of voters,
the conservative voters. You want someone who's going to add
to your ticket.
And particularly, I think we're at a moment in time
similar to 1980,
where Reagan chose George HW Bush to unify the Republican
Party.
Trump needs every single Republican vote,
so choosing someone who is just like him,
I think, is a fool's errand.
Can Trump do that and still keep
everybody in the fold. That is the big question.
I think he can. I maintain that Trump has such
a lock on the Trump base.
In fact I think history will look back on this
and say it is perhaps one of the strongest movement
movements in modern American history.
I don't think they leave Trump under any circumstance unless
he betrays his principles.
But I think picking up AVP that Trump says look
we need to win suburban women.
We need to win an independent voters we've got to
unify the party.
I think that's something the base one.
Wow you wonder a week from today whether or not
it's over.
I mean, it's just the thought it could be
call for #7 Suffolk University University,
Boston Globe. They found Trump at 46,
Haley 26 and DeSantis down at 8%
there. And then Chris Sununu,
the governor in New Hampshire,
joined us yesterday when we were in Des Moines.
Check it out.
There are expectations here in New Hampshire.
We wanted to give her a strong second.
We can almost guarantee that at this point.
And now that she's challenging to actually beat Donald Trump
in New Hampshire,
she's within single digits. That puts everything on the table
over these next seven days.
Wayne, if you can kind of kind of shock the
system a little bit,
giving Trump that defeat here in New Hampshire,
that would be a great reset for the for the
entire election.
If he's right, it would be a great reset and
a very interesting dynamic.
Then he moved to South Carolina and Trump's up by
25 points in polling in South Carolina.
That's her exactly. But you look at New Hampshire,
75,000 more independence than Republicans.
So Nikki Haley, how many can she draw from that
pool?
And then we look at these these categories of Christie
voters,
the 11%, will they go to Haley?
The 5% for Ramaswamy, will they go to Trump.
That makes a difference on the margins.
It could make it, you know a three to five
point race somewhere that's achievable for Nikki Haley.
But was interesting buried in the New York Times,
they were talking about internal Christie polling which shows most
of Christie's support goes to Nikki Haley.
But believe it or not,
there was a small number that actually went to Trump.
You wouldn't think a Christie voter would then go to
Trump.
My point is these are not one for one,
it's not Christie goes to Haley,
Ramaswamy goes to Trump. So it could be anyone's game.
But beyond New Hampshire, to your point,
Trump has a lock on South Carolina,
a lock on Nevada if you believe the polling.
And the polling was pretty accurate in Iowa and turn
out was down in Iowa compared to
2016. Part of that I think was the weather.
And so I think that is really important.
I imagine that with another storm brewing that Haley and
DeSantis are thinking we got to get our people out.
Yeah. And turn out was down.
Josh Holmes made the really excellent point.
More than 700,000 Republicans registered in Iowa.
Only 100,000 showed up. And then you had
51% going for Trump historic win,
but 49% not. That's even more of a case for
choosing a vice president that can unify the Republican Party.
Bring out all Republicans from all corners of every state.
Good deal. Great analysis.
Thank you. Love having you see where we are in
a week.
Yes.