Well, good evening Big Country and happy Thursday.
I hope everybody has been enjoying their day and it
is the first day of the fair so I hope
everybody has been having fun out there.
But those rain chances are going to be tapering off
as we head into tomorrow and those below average temperatures
are going to be sticking around.
And I also have a drought update as we head
into the rest of our forecast.
But first, I am new to the big Country, but
I have heard the folklore that the rain comes into
town when the fair comes into town.
Now, I did a little bit of research and I
have included the years of 2020 and 2021 and have
corrected my data, but let's take a look at what
we've seen over the past five years.
Now, in 2019, we saw about 1/10 of an inch
of rain, meaning that it rained 20% of the time
that the rain the fair was in town.
Now in 2020, we saw about an inch and a
tenth of rain.
And in 2020, it rained about 20% of the time
as well.
Now in 2021 and 2022, we saw zero rain, so
0 percent, 0% of the time that it did rain
now and back in 2023, last year, 2.42 inches of
rain and 60% of the time that it the fair
was in town, it did rain.
Now 60% of the time it does rain when the
fair comes into town.
So I'm really curious to see what happens as we
head into the next week or so, but we'll keep
you updated on the latest as that forecast comes out.
Now look at this drought matter.
This was last week seeing really scary stuff.
I mean, we were headed into a moderate conditions in
parts of the heartland and then even some of these
southern counties.
And then it's severe conditions in parts of the Abilene
and then some of these western counties as well.
So, you know, things were not looking very good, but
as we received tons of rain, seeing things being a
little bit better now we are still in a drought,
seeing dry conditions along the heartland.
And then where we saw those moderate conditions and where
we saw those severe conditions, things have turned to moderate.
Now we've seen a lot of rain, so maybe next
week we'll see a little bit better, but things are
going to be drying out.
So we'll keep you up to date on that drought
next week.
Now, satellite and radar is showing a bunch of activity
over the state.
We're seeing a lot of small isolated showers and as
well as a low pressure system over the Gulf of
Mexico and a lot of rain over the state of
Louisiana.
But take a look up in the Panhandle.
We're seeing this cold front start to push into the
Panhandle and it's slowly going to make its way down
into the big country.
But let's take a look at Max live radar seeing
mostly common clear conditions.
We're seeing a couple of stray showers here and there,
but the main concern is for Mitchell County.
They're still seeing that flood warning until tomorrow morning.
And that's something that we will keep you updated on
as we know more.
But currently in Abilene, it's feeling pretty warm outside, 83°
with those winds out of the northeast at 10 mph
and that humidity at about 56%.
But current temperatures across the Big Country this afternoon seeing
really nice temperatures, 80° all the way down in Gulf.
Wait, a little bit warmer in Ballinger at 86° and
then 81° in Sweetwater in the warmest in Breckenridge at
90°.
But the current winds are coming out about the northeast
right now at about 10 to 15 mph, seeing about
15 mph in Coleman, a little bit higher up in
Gulf weight at 16 mph and then calmer up in
Aspermont at 4 mph.
Now that Futurecast shows not a lot going on heading
into the overnight hours, but tomorrow is when we start
to see those scattered showers start picking up heading into
the afternoon.
Some stray showers we'll see in some of these northern
counties, and they'll continue heading into the later evening and
then tapering off as we head into our Saturday afternoon.
But Abilene tonight, 67°, the first night of the fair,
and those winds are going to be a little bit
chilly out of the northeast at 5 mph.
And then tomorrow, 87°, a 20% chance of showers in
the afternoon with winds gusting up to 25 mph as
that cold front comes in.
Now tonight in the heartland, 67°, mostly clear, a very
calm evening with those winds out of the northeast at
5 mph.
And then tomorrow in the heartland, 88°, mostly sunny with
the 20% chance of rain.
Now let's take one last look at that extended forecast,
seeing a 20% chance of rain on Friday.
That was a really good day to go to the
fair.
And then a cold front is going to be coming
in and bringing those temperatures down.
And then temperatures are just going to remain pretty moderate
heading into the next couple of days with some isolated
showers on Wednesday and Thursday.
Well, we'll just have to make do with all the
sunshine and the cooler temperatures until we get a few
more rain chances in the bucket.
I love it.
It's a great forecast.
All right.
Thank.