Let's bring in our Washington Bureau chief, political director, Rick
Klein.
And Rick, one of the most remarkable things we've seen
here, at least in our national poll, it basically hasn't
moved since Kamala Harris got in the race.
Yeah, that's exactly right.
And good morning, George.
Our final poll before the election has a three-point lead
for Kamala Harris nationally, 49 to 46.
That's what we showed when we published the poll yesterday.
We actually stayed in the field an extra day just
to see if there's any late change.
Identical.
The race is barely budged, as you said, for the
entirety of the race.
All of that said, there's been some intriguing movement late
in the battleground states.
Latest and last New York Times Siena polls shows kind
of the reverse, reverse image of what you might expect.
Harris right now very narrowly ahead in Nevada as well
as North Carolina and Georgia.
Those are must win states if you are if you're
Donald Trump and that's a little bit of a surprise.
Meanwhile, the the the opposite is true in some of
the battleground states that Harris has to win right now.
A tide race in Pennsylvania, a tide race in Michigan.
That's problematic for the Harris campaign and it tells you
why both campaigns are nervous.
They still have to defend what should be safe territory
in a very close race.
So let's break this down a little bit more.
Let's talk about the gender gap because former President Trump,
of course, the clear favorite among men, while Kamala Harris
big lead among women.
Yeah, that's right, Robin.
Our poll has Trump leading among men by five points,
Harris up among women by 11.
That's a 16 point gender gap, not far from what
it is typically.
But if you drill down a little bit more inside
some subgroups, you see a bigger range.
Among independents, that's a 22 point gender gap among voters
under 30.
Among younger voters, that is a 40, 85 point gap.
That's a huge break for women under 30.
That Harris lead is enormous.
The fact that that Trump has a tiny lead among
men doesn't really weigh that out.
One other constant, this year's polls, Rick, the American people
seem to be divided and super angry.
Yeah, boy, is that right.
And you see it here.
74% of Americans say we are on the wrong track
going into Election Day.
That's an astounding number.
It includes half of Harris supporters, 98% of of Trump
supporters.
Wild numbers.
And those are the kind of things that are just
typically brutal for an incumbent party.
But of course, this is an unusual year in so
many ways.
Yeah.
And as we've been reporting, a huge number of people
have already voted, Rick.
Yeah, some of these numbers.
Yeah.
It's, it's it's a big deal, Robin, because 78,000,000 plus
Americans have already voted.
And it's going to take a while to count those
votes.
It's a record number of in person early votes.
But all those male votes, they'll start to really pile
up.
Every state different.
Georgia and North Carolina, for instance, we're expecting a relatively
fast count.
Some of the biggest Pennsylvania county, see, they're going to
handle things faster than last time, but very likely we're
we're bleeding at least into Wednesday.
Nevada and Arizona, meanwhile, they're probably not going to have
final votes by the end of the week.
And that is not a sign of anything being off.
It's what state officials say to expect, especially if the
margins in any of those places are really tight.
And that's what we all must keep in mind.
Rick, thank you so much for your reporting.