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There will be a surprise...brain

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Given as you heard from the introduction that I have been around for a while and

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have had the opportunity and, the privilege

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and the pleasure of serving and five administrations

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...thought I would bring that perspective to the topic today is the issue of

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pandemonium preparedness and if there's one message that I

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want to leave with you today based on my experience and you'll see that

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in a moment is that there is no question that there will be

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challenge the coming administration in the arena of infectious diseases

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both chronic infectious diseases in the sense of already ongoing disease and we have

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certainly large burden of that but also there will be a surprise outbreak and I hope by the

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end of my relatively short presentation you'll understand why

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...history?

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Of the history of the last thirty two years that I've been the director of

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...will tell.

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The next administration that there's no doubt

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in anyone's mind that they will be face with the challenges that their predecessors

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...face with so for those who think that infectious diseases is gone there's so many people

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who've made foolhardy statements not knowing at the time that they made them

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I usually show a quote from an old surgeon general or an old

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pundit in infectious disease so I thought I pulled this one out from sir

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mcfarland burnett who was actually a nobel prize-winning immune knowledge

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...made the statement as many did to write about infectious

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diseases is almost a

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rite of something that has passed into history the most likely forecast about the

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future of infectious diseases is that it will be very dull.

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Which is really kind of interesting coming from a semi genius like

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mcfarland burnett and I think what he did in the mistake?

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That so many people have made.

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Is something that several

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of our panelists have already refer to and that is a failure to

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look beyond our own borders in the issue of the globe

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...of health issues not only things that are there that will come here but

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surprises that we have what are the lessons that we learn from hiv?

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One you have to commit

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substantial financial and human resources these things don't get

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...addressed spontaneously by themselves you after

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when list the best in the brightest investigated simple basic

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...clinical research you have to involve the community be at

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the gay community in the united states or the community and african west africa

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when we dealt with the bowl...the people in south america moment dealing with...you have to have crossed

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sector collaboration you can't do it alone the cdc

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can do it alone the nih can't do it alone you do it with all of us

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with industry with global organizations with philanthropy in ngos.

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And, you've got to get the leaders and the policy-makers involved what is for

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sure that no matter what history has told us in definitively

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that it will happen because infectious diseases as I said eight years ago

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and this article with david mormons...grape focus that it is a perpetual

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challenge is not going to go away so the thing we're

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extraordinarily confident about is that we are going to see this and the next few years thank you.