You know, if Iran were to launch a ballistic missile
directly from Iranian territory into Israel,
that would be an unprecedented escalation.
But General Jack Keane doesn't think that Iran is going
to take any action that could provoke A wider war.
Listen to what he said.
They have a weak Air Force,
They have a weak Navy.
They've got a lot of troops under arms,
but they're not particularly well trained,
nor are they particularly well equipped.
What they do have is a lot of offensive missiles
and drones.
Iran knows that war with them would destroy their regime
economically and also they would likely lose it.
So the leverage has always been on the side of
Israel,
the United States and the West,
but we absolutely refuse to use it.
Did you agree with the general's assessment and and why
would we not use what leverage we have?
Why wouldn't Biden stand up and say to Tehran,
don't you dare do this,
because the consequences for you will be unbearable.
Yeah, we're not really playing our strong hand when it
comes to deterrence.
I do agree with General Keane.
I would add only one point and that is Iran
has faced a lot of domestic unrest and and that
is also got to be a concern for the regime.
They would lose in a direct conflict with Israel or
with the Israeli and the United States.
So they don't want a direct conflict,
but they do have to do something because the IRGC
has failed to deter Israel from launching key strikes against.
IRGC leaders. And so that's where we stand.
The key, John, as you outlined is what about the
day after what happens after Iran launches their strike?
How does Israel respond? How do we respond?
And to, to quote Margaret Thatcher,
to paraphrase her back in the day.
It's not a good time to go wobbly if you're
the president of the United States.
This is one of those times when when leadership really
matters and message discipline matters.