Caddy, I wanted to go back to you and and
let's look at that poll again showing that the overwhelming
majority of Americans say they will not vote for Donald
Trump
if he is convicted. It actually it suggests that that
everybody
not Yeah, being, you know,
being John Madden, basically. And being
being predictors of what's going on.
Don't know what they're talking about right now.
In this Ipsos Reuters poll,
again, 58% of Americans say they won't vote for Donald
Trump if he's convicted of a felony.
And I think the most important number there,
at least for me, what I'm looking at is
55% of independents say they will not vote for Donald
Trump if he's a convicted felon.
Only 14 independents saying yes,
yeah. And actually, even if you look at the entrance
polls in Iowa,
it's kind of reflective of this,
too, right? Because 30% of people who've caucused
on Monday night in Iowa also said they wouldn't vote
for Trump if he's convicted,
which, I mean, we just have to look at the
legal timetable.
Will Jack Smith manage to get his trial date in
March?
Will it be pushed back a little bit?
Will the whole thing be wrapped up and potentially have
a conviction by November?
And then come November, what impact will that actually make?
Donald Trump is opting for a very different strategy than
he was a year ago,
a year ago in May for Eugene Carroll's
trial. He didn't even turn up.
He's seen those polls that you've been showing all week,
Joe, which track? I mean,
that graph that Steve Kornacki has showing that here you
go.
You look at the you look at the dates where
he's arrested for a crime or where he goes into
a courthouse or where the trial starts and his approval
ratings tick up. And he now thinks,
look, the more I'm in court,
the more I misbehave in court,
the more I get attention in court,
that's going to help me.
It might be helping. It might be a split thing,
right? It might be that it helps him with the
primary.
But actually, when it comes to people who are going
to vote in the general election,
November, all of what he did yesterday in court,
drawing attention to the fact
that he's in a court proceeding
and has been found liable,
maybe, maybe that actually will end up to hurt him
and these people will stick to those numbers.
Well, as the old song goes,
Willie's second verse, same as first.
There's a reason Republicans that actually have a have have
a brain have been worried about Donald Trump's impact on
the general electorate since
2017. Because they're like, OK,
the things that he's doing right now in,
in this case, going into courtrooms,
making an ass of himself,
trying to get a judge to throw him out of
the courtroom,
that helps him with 14%
of voters in Iowa, right?
It hurts him with independence.
It hurts him with suburban voters.
It hurts him with swing voters.
There's a reason Donald Trump has done the unthinkable,
held on to a party while losing in
2017, 2018-2019, 2020-2021, 2022-2023. That's because he plays to the
cheap seats in his own party.
They're absolutely thrilled when he's in court for raping a
woman,
according to the judge. And the judge is going to
have to throw him out because he's being so disruptive.
And like a toddler. We get reports from Lisa that
he's banging his hands on the table.
Maybe, we don't know, maybe it's magic marker.
But if it's blood, maybe causing some more problems to
his hands dysregulated and,
and, and so so here's a guy.
Again, this plays really well for the
14% and who knows, maybe
4445% in the general election.
But once again, they're setting themselves up for a loss.
I'm trying to help them here.
I'm trying to help Republicans as I have for seven
years.
They're setting themselves up for another loss because as Caddy
said,
what works for the 14%
hurts him, as we see in this poll
with with almost 60% of Americans.