This decision desk has just called the US Senate race
here,
3 candidates running on the Republican side and they've called
that for the Republican side.
Carrie Lake, she was running against Sheriff Mark Lamb and
Elizabeth Ray
the winner. Now, Carrie Lake taking on Democrat Ruben Gallego
coming up in November.
Remember today Gallego ran uncontested.
This is the seat that cinema had.
She decided not to run for re election.
Let's get a little more perspective on this.
A particular race, yeah. But we want to bring in
our data analyst and election expert,
Garrett Archer talk some of the storylines tonight.
Let's start right here with the US Senate Carrie Lake
outperforming them all. Well, I mean,
this is where the polls kind of had her.
So we did have some polls coming out saying that
she was going to be about 11 to 15 points
above Mark Lamb.
And that's looks kind of where we are here.
As you can see, it's already been called by decision
desk.
We're still missing one county,
very small county. It won't make any difference if we
go through these.
We'll see why they were able to call this race.
So of course, 5341 statewide.
But let's kind of start,
let's start with Maricopa County.
Maricopa County, obviously 62% of the vote,
the the the largest vote,
you know, portion of this
50, 340 for there. Let's go to Yavapai,
one of the most Republican counties in the state.
As you can see, the spread is even wider there.
5936 against Lamb,
5636 in Pima County. So you're seeing a lot of
uniformity in these numbers.
6336 for Kerry Lake in Yuma.
And so we're just seeing a lot like,
as you can see, this is red all the way
around with the exception of
Sheriff Mark Lamb Pinal, which is he was his county,
so 6235 in that first drop and then Graham County,
he's also winning Graham County
5344. Now, another thing to remember about these two candidates
is they're quite similar ideologically.
So when you're calling a race like this,
you can sort of know what's going to happen with
these next kind of votes.
We know that the Election Day happens to be typically
more Republican,
conservative, Trump style votes. And since both of these candidates
are very much in that style,
we're not going to see a lot of deviation in
those numbers as they come in.
I know a lot of political pundits were looking at
what kind of percentage she could pull to see if
she could be successful in the general facing Ruben Gallego.
Does this tell you anything of what we're seeing so
far?
I wouldn't read too much into these numbers.
As I saw being pointed out somewhere on today.
I mean, John McCain won against
Kelly Ward in a completely flipped style race where,
you know, John McCain is the quote UN quote,
moderate Kelly Ward, the quote UN quote,
you know, conservative. And they were about the same numbers.
So, and then of course,
John McCain went on to just absolutely defeat his opponent.
So there's really no, I,
I wouldn't take anything too much from this.
I mean, you know, she Carrie Lake in
2022 when she ran against
Karen Taylor Robeson, I believe there was about a 5-6
point spread
by the end of it and,
and still by the, you know,
she was neck and neck really quickly.